Monday, 4 August 2014
HSBC: Gulliver's Adventure
HSBC: Let’s face it, navigating bank results is like
sailing a dinghy through an ice floe....in the dark. You get lots of large
numbers, which are often many miles away from the underlying movement of pound
notes, moving around and threatening to crush shareholders’ equity. HSBC has
its fair share of historical issues including poor money-laundering controls in
Mexico, a poor record in North American consumer lending and a good whack of
PPI compensation to pay. But it is huge (the market capitalisation is £122bn,
roughly the size of Hungary’s GDP) and its balance sheet is strong with core
tier 1 a comfie 11.3%. It has a good footprint in Asia, which will see good
economic growth over the long timeframes that corporate super-tankers like to think
in. The CEO, Stuart Gulliver, has re-iterated that they have a strong balance
sheet and a progressive dividend policy, although they declare results and
dividends in US dollars. This means that with a strong pound against the dollar
at the moment, sterling dividends received face a headwind. So you start with a
historic yield is 4.7%, for a bank in some of the right places, which is more
alluring than many of its peer group navigating the icy financial ocean.
These comments are not a personal
recommendation to deal. Any investments can fall as well as rise in value, so
you could get back less than you invest. I may have a financial interest in
some of the stocks written about.
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